Darnley · Polymarket wallet 0xbcea…f477

Wallet snapshot

Darnley has made 84 trades on Polymarket across 43 markets, $22K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (43%) and sports (38%). On 36 resolved markets the win rate is 66.7%, lifetime P&L -$9. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?No · $3 · 94¢ → 96¢
• Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?No · $2 · 94¢ → 93¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No · $0 · Aug 13, 2026
• Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No · $0 · Aug 13, 2026
• US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?No · -$4 · Jun 30, 2026
• Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)No · +$22 · Jun 8, 2026
• Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?No · -$4 · Jun 6, 2026
• Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No · +$46 · Jun 4, 2026
• Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No · $0 · Jun 4, 2026
• Spread: Albania (-2.5)No · +$23 · Jun 3, 2026
• Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No · +$5 · Jun 3, 2026
• Spread: Ghana (-1.5)No · +$35 · Jun 2, 2026

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