kdaerfa · Polymarket wallet 0xbca7…74d3

Wallet snapshot

kdaerfa has made 94 trades on Polymarket across 23 markets, $16K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (39%) and politics (22%). On 20 resolved markets the win rate is 55%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?". Last trade: Apr 6, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $207 · 96¢ → 94¢
• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $13 · 4¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · +$4 · Apr 6, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 12?Yes · +$1 · Mar 25, 2026
• Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes · -$3 · Mar 19, 2026
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 24?Yes · +$1 · Mar 2, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 19?Yes · +$1 · Jan 20, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 14?Yes · +$3 · Jan 15, 2026
• Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?Yes · -$16 · Jan 11, 2026
• US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No · +$67 · Jan 5, 2026
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on December 19?No · +$1 · Dec 21, 2025
• US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No · +$28 · Dec 16, 2025

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