aaaa1211 · Polymarket wallet 0xbc5b…1e41

Wallet snapshot

aaaa1211 has made 163 trades on Polymarket across 30 markets, $15K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (33%) and geopolitics (20%). On 27 resolved markets the win rate is 59.3%, lifetime P&L +$331. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?". Last trade: Mar 23, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No · $8 · 86¢ → 99¢
• Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No · $4 · 55¢ → 77¢
• Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · $1 · 55¢ → 24¢

Latest closed positions

• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No · +$10 · May 1, 2026
• Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes · -$1 · Mar 16, 2026
• Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes · -$169 · Feb 3, 2026
• Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes · +$35 · Jan 17, 2026
• Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?Yes · +$191 · Jan 17, 2026
• Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?Yes · +$62 · Jan 17, 2026
• XRP Up or Down on January 13?Yes · +$15 · Jan 13, 2026
• Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on January 12?No · +$14 · Jan 13, 2026
• Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?Yes · +$1 · Jan 12, 2026
• Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?Yes · +$6 · Jan 12, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.