Outlying-Bankbook · Polymarket wallet 0xbb66…a109

Wallet snapshot

Outlying-Bankbook has made 4,946 trades on Polymarket across 411 markets, $14K in volume. Most of it is in sports (97%). On 410 resolved markets the win rate is 68.3%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?". Last trade: Dec 2, 2025.

Largest open positions

• Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No · $41 · 67¢ → 83¢
• Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes · $9 · 34¢ → 18¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No · +$2 · Feb 1, 2026
• Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes · +$8 · Dec 31, 2025
• Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes · +$80 · Dec 31, 2025
• Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?Yes · -$6 · Dec 16, 2025
• Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETYes · +$3 · Dec 2, 2025
• Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETYes · +$8 · Dec 2, 2025
• Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETNo · -$1 · Dec 2, 2025
• Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETYes · -$3 · Dec 2, 2025
• Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETNo · +$11 · Dec 2, 2025
• Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETYes · +$5 · Dec 2, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.