Third-Loophole · Polymarket wallet 0xba14…a3ff

Wallet snapshot

Third-Loophole has made 385 trades on Polymarket across 143 markets, $8,361 in volume. Most of it is in sports (84%) and politics (7%). On 122 resolved markets the win rate is 65.6%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?". Last trade: Mar 21, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $1 · 100¢ → 100¢
• Houston Astros vs. Minnesota TwinsNo · $1 · 87¢ → 100¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No · $0 · May 20, 2026
• Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETYes · +$20 · Mar 21, 2026
• Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETYes · +$27 · Mar 21, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETNo · +$0 · Mar 21, 2026
• Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETNo · +$1 · Mar 21, 2026
• Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETYes · +$2 · Mar 21, 2026
• Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETNo · +$1 · Mar 21, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETNo · +$0 · Mar 21, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETYes · +$23 · Mar 17, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETYes · +$20 · Mar 17, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.