Severe-Asset · Polymarket wallet 0xb863…5450

Wallet snapshot

Severe-Asset has made 92 trades on Polymarket across 28 markets, $477 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (32%) and politics (21%). On 21 resolved markets the win rate is 66.7%, lifetime P&L +$1. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?". Last trade: Mar 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?Yes · $0 · 41¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?Yes · +$3 · Mar 7, 2026
• Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 2 above $395?Yes · +$2 · Mar 7, 2026
• Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No · +$2 · Mar 6, 2026
• Will Johannes Hoesflot Klaebo record the most medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No · -$2 · Feb 26, 2026
• Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?No · -$4 · Feb 26, 2026
• Will France record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes · +$0 · Feb 26, 2026
• Will Australia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes · +$0 · Feb 26, 2026
• Will Great Britain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes · +$0 · Feb 26, 2026
• Will the US strike Yemen next?Yes · +$1 · Feb 5, 2026
• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · +$0 · Feb 3, 2026

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