ElonJail · Polymarket wallet 0xb831…892b

Wallet snapshot

ElonJail has made 10,384 trades on Polymarket across 1,073 markets, $324K in volume. Most of it is in politics (32%). On 993 resolved markets the win rate is 48.2%, lifetime P&L +$23K. It holds 60 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Nov 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $8,082 · 50¢ → 99¢
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?Yes · $1,234 · 0¢ → 7¢
• Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?No · $230 · 39¢ → 46¢
• Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in November 2026?No · $161 · 99¢ → 99¢
• Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?No · $160 · 13¢ → 32¢
• Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No · $118 · 75¢ → 89¢
• Will BSW be in the next Berlin state government?No · $118 · 98¢ → 98¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $79 · 72¢ → 90¢
• Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $78 · 50¢ → 1¢
• Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?No · $74 · 39¢ → 37¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?Yes · +$7 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?Yes · +$84 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?Yes · +$12 · Nov 12, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?Yes · +$16 · Nov 12, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?Yes · -$143 · Nov 12, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027?Yes · +$415 · Nov 12, 2026

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