greyfacemoon · Polymarket wallet 0xb76f…0854

Wallet snapshot

greyfacemoon has made 71 trades on Polymarket across 50 markets, $461 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (30%) and politics (30%). On 35 resolved markets the win rate is 60%, lifetime P&L +$53. It holds 12 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?". Last trade: Sep 20, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Yes · $12 · 70¢ → 87¢
• Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes · $8 · 81¢ → 62¢
• Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Yes · $6 · 20¢ → 65¢
• Will Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?Yes · $5 · 56¢ → 85¢
• Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes · $2 · 14¢ → 34¢
• Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes · $2 · 31¢ → 7¢
• Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?Yes · $2 · 25¢ → 8¢
• Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?Yes · $2 · 29¢ → 15¢
• Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Yes · $1 · 21¢ → 5¢
• China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes · $1 · 19¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · +$4 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes · +$1 · Sep 5, 2026
• Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes · +$0 · Sep 5, 2026
• Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?Yes · +$5 · Aug 9, 2026
• Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No · +$1 · Jul 23, 2026
• Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?Yes · +$0 · Jul 15, 2026

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