Impartial-Allocation · Polymarket wallet 0xb64b…e231

Wallet snapshot

Impartial-Allocation has made 64 trades on Polymarket across 26 markets, $172 in volume. Most of it is in economics (62%) and geopolitics (19%). On 25 resolved markets the win rate is 56%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?". Last trade: Mar 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No · $2 · 82¢ → 96¢
• Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Yes · $0 · 16¢ → 5¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No · +$0 · Apr 1, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No · +$0 · Mar 4, 2026
• Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Mar 3, 2026
• Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of February?Yes · +$4 · Mar 3, 2026
• Will Meta (META) close above $680 on February 9?No · +$2 · Feb 12, 2026
• Will Amazon dip to $216 in February?No · +$1 · Feb 6, 2026
• Will Google (GOOGL) close above $325 on February 6?No · +$4 · Feb 6, 2026
• Will Amazon dip to $204 in February?No · -$0 · Feb 6, 2026
• Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on February 4?Yes · -$3 · Feb 5, 2026
• GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Feb 5, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.