Careful.Idiot · Polymarket wallet 0xb609…85f8

Wallet snapshot

Careful.Idiot has made 235 trades on Polymarket across 85 markets, $5,657 in volume. Most of it is in politics (31%) and geopolitics (27%). On 83 resolved markets the win rate is 86.7%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "US x Cuba military clash in 2026?". Last trade: Jul 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No · $48 · 62¢ → 85¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?No · +$11 · Jul 2, 2026
• US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No · +$0 · Jun 24, 2026
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?Yes · +$10 · May 24, 2026
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?Yes · +$3 · May 21, 2026
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?Yes · +$7 · May 20, 2026
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?Yes · +$2 · May 19, 2026
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?Yes · +$7 · May 17, 2026
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?Yes · +$9 · May 16, 2026
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?Yes · +$8 · May 15, 2026
• Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No · +$1 · May 13, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.