gropaul · Polymarket wallet 0xb521…217f

Wallet snapshot

gropaul has made 93 trades on Polymarket across 60 markets, $4,354 in volume. Most of it is in sports (52%) and geopolitics (22%). On 54 resolved markets the win rate is 75.9%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No · $128 · 86¢ → 86¢

Latest closed positions

• Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes · -$3 · Aug 1, 2026
• Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No · +$28 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?No · +$327 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes · +$38 · Jun 30, 2026
• Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?No · +$41 · Jun 27, 2026
• US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No · +$37 · Jun 16, 2026
• Spurs vs. KnicksYes · +$56 · Jun 9, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No · +$33 · Jun 1, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes · +$33 · May 7, 2026
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?No · +$41 · Apr 18, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.