Polymarket wallet 0xb14f…d825

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xb14f…d825 has made 168 trades on Polymarket across 30 markets, $46K in volume. Most of it is in politics (33%) and geopolitics (27%). On 25 resolved markets the win rate is 76%, lifetime P&L +$12K. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?". Last trade: Aug 30, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $475 · 18¢ → 86¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $56 · 45¢ → 13¢
• Will the Republican Party win the GA-14 House seat?Yes · $1 · 91¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No · +$19 · Jun 30, 2026
• Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes · +$11 · Jun 30, 2026
• Cavaliers vs. PistonsYes · +$170 · May 17, 2026
• Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes · +$983 · May 17, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?Yes · -$150 · Apr 27, 2026
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No · +$321 · Apr 27, 2026
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No · +$67 · Apr 27, 2026
• Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$78 · Apr 26, 2026
• Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No · +$72 · Apr 24, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No · +$2,329 · Apr 21, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.