False-Butterfly · Polymarket wallet 0xb114…6e8a

+$1 lifetime P&L · 66.7% win rate · 12 resolved markets · 0xb11444f774f018900d10636f382f846552d76e8a

LIVE · AUTO-REFRESH 60S

Wallet snapshot

False-Butterfly has made 82 trades on Polymarket across 50 markets, $186 in volume. Most of it is in politics (30%) and sports (14%). On 12 resolved markets the win rate is 66.7%, lifetime P&L +$1. It holds 37 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.44% in November?". Last trade: Nov 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.44% in November?No · $5 · 34¢ → 95¢
Will Nebraska be the closest Governor's race in 2026?No · $5 · 95¢ → 100¢
Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat?No · $5 · 77¢ → 99¢
Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes · $5 · 72¢ → 99¢
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 1%?No · $5 · 80¢ → 99¢
Will Kyle Davis come in third-place on The Voice season 30?No · $5 · 73¢ → 96¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.79% in November?No · $5 · 90¢ → 97¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.17% in November?No · $5 · 88¢ → 96¢
Will BigCountry come in second-place on The Voice season 30?No · $5 · 70¢ → 95¢
Will Lexi Stephens come in third-place on The Voice season 30?No · $4 · 72¢ → 87¢

Latest closed positions

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?Yes · -$1 · Nov 13, 2026
Will Jynxzi win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?No · +$1 · Nov 13, 2026
Will Jynxzi win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?Yes · +$2 · Nov 13, 2026
Will CORE win Best Content Group at the 2026 Streamer Awards?Yes · +$0 · Nov 13, 2026
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?Yes · +$1 · Nov 11, 2026
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?Yes · +$1 · Nov 11, 2026
Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.