Krapfen · Polymarket wallet 0xb08c…4b62

Wallet snapshot

Krapfen has made 60 trades on Polymarket across 16 markets, $6,299 in volume. Most of it is in politics (56%) and geopolitics (19%). On 14 resolved markets the win rate is 92.9%, lifetime P&L +$332. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No · $982 · 90¢ → 89¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$271 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No · +$50 · Oct 10, 2025
• Will the AFD be part of the next German government?No · +$20 · May 6, 2025
• Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?No · +$2 · May 6, 2025
• Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?No · -$1 · Mar 1, 2025
• Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?No · +$9 · Feb 24, 2025
• Ukraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January? No · +$1 · Feb 2, 2025
• Was the Cybertruck bombing a lone wolf attack?Yes · +$0 · Feb 1, 2025
• Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? Yes · +$2 · Jan 28, 2025
• Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever?No · +$0 · Jan 22, 2025

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