c4vdl4g · Polymarket wallet 0xaf03…9db4

Wallet snapshot

c4vdl4g has made 159 trades on Polymarket across 90 markets, $35K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (26%) and tech (18%). On 82 resolved markets the win rate is 73.2%, lifetime P&L +$465. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?". Last trade: Sep 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · $0 · 2¢ → 1¢

Latest closed positions

• Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?Yes · +$0 · Jul 17, 2026
• GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Jul 6, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No · +$1 · Jul 6, 2026
• Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No · +$16 · Jul 6, 2026
• Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?No · +$0 · Jul 6, 2026
• Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No · +$102 · Jul 2, 2026
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Yes · +$121 · Jun 28, 2026
• Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes · +$8 · Jun 28, 2026
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes · -$24 · Jun 28, 2026
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No · +$49 · Jun 28, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.