erfdfvds · Polymarket wallet 0xae54…e3bd

Wallet snapshot

erfdfvds has made 88 trades on Polymarket across 36 markets, $403 in volume. Most of it is in sports (38%) and politics (16%). On 28 resolved markets the win rate is 78.6%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?No · $1 · 97¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Indiana Fever vs. New York LibertyYes · -$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No · $0 · Sep 11, 2026
• Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceNo · -$1 · Aug 22, 2026
• Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · -$17 · Aug 22, 2026
• Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?No · +$0 · Jun 8, 2026
• Trump out as President by May 31?No · $0 · Jun 8, 2026
• Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?No · $0 · Jun 8, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No · $0 · Jun 8, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?No · $0 · Jun 8, 2026
• Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?Yes · +$0 · Jun 8, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.