Longbury · Polymarket wallet 0xae1e…b094

Wallet snapshot

Longbury has made 35 trades on Polymarket across 14 markets, $6,524 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (64%) and sports (14%). On 10 resolved markets the win rate is 60%. It holds no open positions right now. Last trade: Sep 6, 2026.

Latest closed positions

• Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$19 · Aug 14, 2026
• Will António Costa visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No · $0 · Aug 14, 2026
• Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?Yes · -$3 · Aug 2, 2026
• Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No · $0 · Aug 2, 2026
• Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?No · -$5 · Jul 13, 2026
• Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?No · $0 · Jul 13, 2026
• Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?No · -$1 · Jun 22, 2026
• Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?No · -$3 · Jun 22, 2026
• Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?No · -$2 · Jun 18, 2026
• Spread: Belgium (-2.5)No · +$29 · Jun 3, 2026

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