Kvaka · Polymarket wallet 0xaa54…aea4

Wallet snapshot

Kvaka has made 39 trades on Polymarket across 36 markets, $426 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (33%) and geopolitics (28%). On 34 resolved markets the win rate is 67.6%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?". Last trade: May 27, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No · $2 · 89¢ → 97¢
• Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes · $0 · 71¢ → 11¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026?No · +$0 · Apr 7, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?No · +$0 · Apr 7, 2026
• Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?No · +$3 · Apr 7, 2026
• Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?No · +$1 · Apr 7, 2026
• First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Yes · +$1 · Feb 8, 2026
• Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes · +$1 · Feb 8, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No · +$1 · Feb 8, 2026
• Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?No · +$2 · Feb 8, 2026
• Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?No · -$3 · Jan 3, 2026
• Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No · +$2 · Nov 20, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.