panic-arrange · Polymarket wallet 0xa8b2…0d78

Wallet snapshot

panic-arrange has made 63 trades on Polymarket across 25 markets, $23K in volume. Most of it is in sports (68%) and economics (16%). On 18 resolved markets the win rate is 66.7%, lifetime P&L -$27. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?". Last trade: Jul 21, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Yes · $0 · 6¢ → 10¢

Latest closed positions

• Exact Score: FC Thun 0 - 1 GNK Dinamo Zagreb?No · +$1 · Aug 12, 2026
• Connah's Quay Nomads FC vs. FC Ballkani: O/U 5.5No · +$1 · Jul 15, 2026
• Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Sweden?No · +$1 · Jul 15, 2026
• South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 4.5No · +$2 · Jun 30, 2026
• Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 4.5No · +$1 · Jun 30, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 18?Yes · -$18 · Jun 2, 2026
• United States vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5No · -$16 · Jun 2, 2026
• Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?No · +$3 · Jun 2, 2026
• Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)No · +$1 · Jun 2, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes · +$2 · Mar 19, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.