Naive-Conviction · Polymarket wallet 0xa8af…9426

Wallet snapshot

Naive-Conviction has made 444 trades on Polymarket across 243 markets, $6,104 in volume. Most of it is in sports (97%). On 229 resolved markets the win rate is 58.1%, lifetime P&L +$466. It holds 13 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Angela Merkel be the next President of Germany?". Last trade: Oct 22, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Angela Merkel be the next President of Germany?No · $83 · 91¢ → 98¢
• New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5No · $63 · 64¢ → 63¢
• FC Dallas vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5No · $55 · 56¢ → 55¢
• Spread: AEK Athens (-2.5)No · $47 · 58¢ → 56¢
• Spread: Olympiacos Piraeus (-2.5)No · $28 · 59¢ → 57¢
• Spread: 1. FC Saarbrucken (-1.5)No · $22 · 66¢ → 64¢
• Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hannover 96: O/U 3.5No · $20 · 58¢ → 57¢
• Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)No · $20 · 79¢ → 78¢
• Spread: Alemannia Aachen (-1.5)No · $19 · 77¢ → 75¢
• CF Montréal vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5No · $16 · 64¢ → 63¢

Latest closed positions

• FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5No · +$24 · Oct 22, 2026
• Inter Miami CF vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 4.5No · +$8 · Oct 11, 2026
• Toronto FC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 3.5No · +$9 · Oct 10, 2026
• New York Red Bulls vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5No · +$11 · Oct 1, 2026
• FC Schalke 04 vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5No · +$10 · Sep 20, 2026
• Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5No · +$6 · Sep 20, 2026
• Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5No · +$4 · Sep 20, 2026

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