8bitfroggy · Polymarket wallet 0xa832…f846

Wallet snapshot

8bitfroggy has made 168 trades on Polymarket across 36 markets, $16K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (33%) and politics (25%). On 31 resolved markets the win rate is 93.5%, lifetime P&L +$1,290. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?". Last trade: Aug 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?Yes · $314 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No · $171 · 92¢ → 97¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $112 · 89¢ → 98¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · $105 · 90¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No · +$7 · Aug 2, 2026
• Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No · +$2 · Jul 1, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No · -$92 · May 20, 2026
• France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No · +$29 · Apr 26, 2026
• NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?No · +$19 · Apr 16, 2026
• Will Prince Andrew apologize by Feb 28?No · +$0 · Mar 1, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No · +$12 · Feb 22, 2026
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No · +$5 · Jan 5, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No · +$7 · Jan 2, 2026
• Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?No · +$1 · Jan 2, 2026

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