Rothbury · Polymarket wallet 0xa5ca…36ff

Wallet snapshot

Rothbury has made 46 trades on Polymarket across 20 markets, $14K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (74%) and sports (11%). On 12 resolved markets the win rate is 75%, lifetime P&L +$93. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "US strike on Colombia by December 31?". Last trade: Sep 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US strike on Colombia by December 31?No · $4 · 75¢ → 78¢

Latest closed positions

• Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?Yes · $0 · Aug 3, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · Aug 3, 2026
• Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No · $0 · Jul 13, 2026
• Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?No · $0 · Jul 13, 2026
• U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?No · $0 · Jul 9, 2026
• Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No · -$5 · Jul 9, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?No · -$6 · Jun 29, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Jun 29, 2026
• Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No · +$8 · Jun 28, 2026
• Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?No · $0 · Jun 28, 2026

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