mceee · Polymarket wallet 0xa3a9…6c89

Wallet snapshot

mceee has made 1,077 trades on Polymarket across 169 markets, $36K in volume. Most of it is in sports (25%) and geopolitics (11%). On 127 resolved markets the win rate is 58.3%, lifetime P&L +$823. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No · $754 · 76¢ → 89¢
• Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?No · $714 · 49¢ → 72¢
• Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes · $318 · 72¢ → 77¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No · $167 · 91¢ → 98¢
• Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $487.5B by October 31?No · $159 · 90¢ → 97¢
• Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $157.5B by October 31?No · $120 · 75¢ → 83¢
• Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $187.5B by October 31?No · $70 · 57¢ → 58¢
• Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $172.5B by October 31?No · $33 · 35¢ → 67¢

Latest closed positions

• Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $825B by October 31?No · +$6 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?Yes · +$3 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes · -$5 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?No · +$1 · Oct 5, 2026
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No · +$2 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes · -$4 · Oct 5, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.