kaishiao · Polymarket wallet 0xa354…a474

Wallet snapshot

kaishiao has made 86 trades on Polymarket across 80 markets, $1,547 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (35%) and politics (18%). On 78 resolved markets the win rate is 60.3%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will annual inflation be 3.0% in September?". Last trade: Oct 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will annual inflation be 3.0% in September?No · $14 · 100¢ → 100¢

Latest closed positions

• Hiroshima Dragonflies vs. Shiga LakestarsYes · +$0 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026?Yes · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?No · +$0 · Sep 21, 2026
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 17, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 11?No · +$0 · Jun 11, 2026
• Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?No · +$0 · Jun 1, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?No · +$0 · May 31, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?Yes · +$0 · May 16, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?Yes · +$0 · May 13, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.