Polymarket wallet 0xa1a9…afc9

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xa1a9…afc9 has made 168 trades on Polymarket across 93 markets, $316 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (14%) and economics (11%). On 86 resolved markets the win rate is 55.8%, lifetime P&L +$2. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No · $1 · 74¢ → 86¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?Yes · -$1 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 6, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in September?Yes · -$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?Yes · -$2 · Sep 26, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?No · +$1 · Sep 25, 2026

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