Harmful-Expectancy · Polymarket wallet 0x9fcb…3905

Wallet snapshot

Harmful-Expectancy has made 143 trades on Polymarket across 56 markets, $625 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (71%) and politics (16%). On 56 resolved markets the win rate is 82.1%. It holds no open positions right now. Last trade: Sep 4, 2026.

Latest closed positions

• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 4?Yes · +$2 · Sep 4, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 31?Yes · +$2 · Aug 31, 2026
• Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?No · -$5 · Feb 24, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETNo · -$1 · Feb 24, 2026
• Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?No · +$3 · Feb 10, 2026
• Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?No · +$2 · Feb 10, 2026
• Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?No · +$1 · Feb 10, 2026
• Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?No · +$2 · Feb 9, 2026
• Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?Yes · +$1 · Feb 8, 2026
• Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 310 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?No · -$8 · Feb 8, 2026

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