bear23 · Polymarket wallet 0x9f9b…f85d

Wallet snapshot

bear23 has made 60 trades on Polymarket across 18 markets, $3,551 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (33%) and geopolitics (28%). On 17 resolved markets the win rate is 58.8%, lifetime P&L +$231. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: May 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · $2 · 29¢ → 9¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No · +$41 · May 10, 2026
• Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?No · +$82 · Feb 11, 2026
• Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes · +$30 · Jan 12, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No · +$63 · Jan 1, 2026
• Golden Knights vs. IslandersNo · +$109 · Dec 10, 2025
• Heat vs. MagicNo · +$78 · Dec 10, 2025
• Pistons vs. BucksYes · +$84 · Dec 9, 2025
• Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?No · +$1 · Nov 22, 2025
• Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?No · -$25 · Dec 28, 2024
• Senate control after 2024 election?Yes · -$13 · Nov 9, 2024

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.