Gruesome-Geranium · Polymarket wallet 0x9b39…9f0e

Wallet snapshot

Gruesome-Geranium has made 111 trades on Polymarket across 34 markets, $17K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (50%) and geopolitics (21%). On 32 resolved markets the win rate is 81.3%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "China x Japan military clash before 2027?". Last trade: Dec 22, 2025.

Largest open positions

• China x Japan military clash before 2027?No · $114 · 84¢ → 96¢
• China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes · $5 · 14¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No · +$1 · Jan 5, 2026
• Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes · +$3 · Jan 1, 2026
• China x India military clash by December 31?No · +$1 · Jan 1, 2026
• Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?No · +$16 · Jan 1, 2026
• Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No · +$3 · Jan 1, 2026
• China x Japan military clash before 2027?No · +$2 · Dec 22, 2025
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes · +$12 · Dec 21, 2025
• Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes · +$11 · Dec 21, 2025
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · +$30 · Dec 21, 2025
• Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No · +$1 · Dec 7, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.