Outlandish-Birch · Polymarket wallet 0x91d3…6a7d

Wallet snapshot

Outlandish-Birch has made 168 trades on Polymarket across 25 markets, $78K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (32%) and economics (28%). On 22 resolved markets the win rate is 81.8%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?". Last trade: Sep 27, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes · $176 · 56¢ → 59¢
• Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes · $58 · 62¢ → 78¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No · +$5 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No · +$1 · Jun 1, 2026
• Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No · +$1 · Jun 1, 2026
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No · +$0 · Jun 1, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No · +$0 · May 19, 2026
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No · +$0 · May 17, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 30?Yes · +$1 · Apr 26, 2026
• Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No · +$29 · Jan 28, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.