Firsthand-Outlaw · Polymarket wallet 0x8a7e…d081

62.5% win rate · 16 resolved markets · 0x8a7e34a95fabfec938b2a80f54a58b195e23d081

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Wallet snapshot

Firsthand-Outlaw has made 82 trades on Polymarket across 16 markets, $4,830 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (44%) and economics (38%). On 16 resolved markets the win rate is 62.5%. It holds no open positions right now. Last trade: Apr 4, 2026.

Latest closed positions

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes · -$3 · May 1, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No · +$30 · Apr 8, 2026
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Yes · +$8 · Apr 4, 2026
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes · +$91 · Apr 4, 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No · +$5 · Apr 4, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No · +$30 · Apr 4, 2026
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes · -$32 · Apr 1, 2026
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?No · +$23 · Apr 1, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No · +$20 · Mar 30, 2026
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes · +$104 · Mar 14, 2026

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