NastParMusk · Polymarket wallet 0x86a3…25d8

Wallet snapshot

NastParMusk has made 1,698 trades on Polymarket across 244 markets, $240K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (45%) and politics (21%). On 242 resolved markets the win rate is 85.1%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?". Last trade: May 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes · $15 · 53¢ → 6¢
• Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No · $5 · 88¢ → 100¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No · +$110 · Aug 17, 2026
• Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?Yes · +$2 · Aug 17, 2026
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No · +$693 · Aug 17, 2026
• Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No · +$18 · Aug 17, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No · +$168 · Aug 17, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No · +$15 · May 6, 2026
• Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No · +$59 · May 6, 2026
• Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No · +$2 · May 6, 2026
• Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No · +$17 · May 6, 2026
• Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No · +$14 · May 6, 2026

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