Natural-Timeline · Polymarket wallet 0x8644…e132

Wallet snapshot

Natural-Timeline has made 35 trades on Polymarket across 22 markets, $94 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (41%) and sports (14%). On 21 resolved markets the win rate is 76.2%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes · $1 · 58¢ → 59¢

Latest closed positions

• Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsYes · +$3 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Yes · +$0 · Sep 24, 2026
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?No · +$0 · Sep 18, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes · +$0 · Aug 31, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Aug 29, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No · +$0 · Aug 4, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes · +$0 · Jul 31, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.