papaseaon · Polymarket wallet 0x8535…b75c

Wallet snapshot

papaseaon has made 34 trades on Polymarket across 14 markets, $2,435 in volume. Most of it is in tech (50%) and geopolitics (29%). On 12 resolved markets the win rate is 75%, lifetime P&L +$145. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?". Last trade: Nov 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?No · $400 · 75¢ → 83¢
• Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?No · $5 · 67¢ → 94¢

Latest closed positions

• Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$46 · Nov 5, 2026
• Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$18 · Sep 25, 2026
• Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)No · +$50 · Sep 25, 2026
• Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?No · +$54 · Sep 5, 2026
• Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes · -$42 · Sep 4, 2026
• Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?Yes · +$33 · Aug 4, 2026
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No · +$115 · Jul 4, 2026
• Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?No · +$21 · Jun 9, 2026
• Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?Yes · +$50 · Jun 9, 2026
• Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes · +$136 · May 19, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.