Grand-Material · Polymarket wallet 0x84b9…8880

Wallet snapshot

Grand-Material has made 1,471 trades on Polymarket across 213 markets, $87K in volume. Most of it is in sports (23%) and geopolitics (17%). On 205 resolved markets the win rate is 74.6%, lifetime P&L +$3,110. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No · $1,947 · 88¢ → 97¢
• Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No · $423 · 88¢ → 85¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $221 · 72¢ → 74¢
• No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?No · $54 · 43¢ → 97¢
• X banned in any European country by December 31?No · $40 · 80¢ → 86¢

Latest closed positions

• Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No · -$167 · Oct 5, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No · +$100 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$121 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-09-12?Yes · +$31 · Sep 12, 2026
• Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?No · +$190 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Real Madrid next?No · +$4 · Aug 31, 2026
• FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen: Neither team to score first?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.