Polymarket wallet 0x83ff…86b2

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x83ff…86b2 has made 1,917 trades on Polymarket across 265 markets, $29K in volume. Most of it is in sports (96%). On 262 resolved markets the win rate is 58.4%, lifetime P&L +$65. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?". Last trade: Jan 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · $82 · 53¢ → 88¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $12 · 49¢ → 13¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $8 · 15¢ → 86¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · $1 · 86¢ → 14¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?Yes · -$1 · Jan 16, 2026
• Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?Yes · -$0 · Jan 5, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8AM ETYes · -$1 · Jan 4, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETYes · -$31 · Jan 4, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETNo · -$39 · Jan 4, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETYes · -$6 · Jan 4, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETNo · +$1 · Jan 4, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETYes · +$1 · Jan 4, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETNo · +$1 · Jan 4, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 5AM ETYes · +$2 · Jan 4, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.