P · Polymarket wallet 0x830e…7099

+$17,165 lifetime P&L · 62.5% win rate · 64 resolved markets · 0x830e68e26b3b454183b704901273a5ccda2a7099

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Wallet snapshot

P has made 810 trades on Polymarket across 68 markets, $714K in volume. Most of it is in politics (37%) and geopolitics (29%). On 64 resolved markets the win rate is 62.5%, lifetime P&L +$17K. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?". Last trade: Jun 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No · $725 · 85¢ → 97¢
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes · $26 · 17¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes · +$4,451 · Jun 4, 2026
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No · -$6,037 · Jun 1, 2026
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes · +$165 · May 28, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes · +$346 · Apr 11, 2026
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes · -$115 · Apr 9, 2026
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?Yes · -$43 · Apr 2, 2026
Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes · -$174 · Apr 2, 2026
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?Yes · +$449 · Apr 2, 2026
US forces enter Iran by March 31?No · +$18 · Apr 2, 2026
Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?No · +$21 · Apr 1, 2026

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