Mou-454 · Polymarket wallet 0x8081…6d62

Wallet snapshot

Mou-454 has made 1,835 trades on Polymarket across 137 markets, $209K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (34%) and crypto (30%). On 130 resolved markets the win rate is 60.8%, lifetime P&L -$1,437. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 25, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?No · $19 · 39¢ → 16¢
• Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?No · $10 · 45¢ → 3¢
• Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?No · $1 · 7¢ → 1¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?No · -$19 · Oct 25, 2026
• Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?No · -$9 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?No · +$61 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026?No · +$4 · Sep 17, 2026
• Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?No · +$42 · Aug 13, 2026
• MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?Yes · -$78 · May 1, 2026
• Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?Yes · +$25 · Apr 24, 2026
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes · +$44 · Apr 24, 2026
• Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?No · -$152 · Apr 1, 2026
• Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?No · +$517 · Apr 1, 2026

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