disko · Polymarket wallet 0x77cf…0e71

Wallet snapshot

disko has made 7,838 trades on Polymarket across 539 markets, $2.1M in volume. Most of it is in politics (44%) and sports (29%). On 534 resolved markets the win rate is 76.2%. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?". Last trade: Feb 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $4,045 · 87¢ → 98¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes · $93 · 12¢ → 2¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · $23 · 9¢ → 71¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No · $9 · 91¢ → 29¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?No · +$27 · Mar 1, 2026
• US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No · +$20 · Feb 28, 2026
• Washington Adventist Shock vs. Coppin State Eagles (W)No · -$51 · Feb 13, 2026
• US government shutdown Saturday?No · -$75 · Feb 4, 2026
• Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Yes · +$59 · Feb 3, 2026
• Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?Yes · +$10 · Feb 2, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No · +$68 · Feb 2, 2026
• Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes · $0 · Feb 2, 2026
• US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?No · +$78 · Feb 1, 2026
• Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No · +$1 · Feb 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.