Misguided-Similarity · Polymarket wallet 0x7743…2d12

Wallet snapshot

Misguided-Similarity has made 11 trades on Polymarket across 10 markets, $605 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (30%) and sports (20%). On 10 resolved markets the win rate is 90%. It holds no open positions right now. Last trade: Apr 15, 2026.

Latest closed positions

• Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes · +$0 · Apr 25, 2026
• Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo · +$276 · Apr 19, 2026
• Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5No · +$146 · Apr 13, 2026
• Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Yes · +$0 · Apr 11, 2026
• Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?No · +$0 · Apr 11, 2026
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Apr 11, 2026
• Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Mar 2, 2026
• Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26?Yes · +$0 · Mar 2, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 26?No · $0 · Mar 2, 2026
• Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No · +$0 · Mar 2, 2026

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