dissidentdad · Polymarket wallet 0x74bf…2a6e

Wallet snapshot

dissidentdad has made 3,126 trades on Polymarket across 89 markets, $693K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (79%) and politics (9%). On 79 resolved markets the win rate is 65.8%, lifetime P&L -$14K. It holds 9 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31". Last trade: Sep 30, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No · $28K · 87¢ → 91¢
• Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No · $8,923 · 87¢ → 97¢
• Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes · $4,170 · 48¢ → 9¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No · $1,187 · 84¢ → 97¢
• Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?No · $978 · 61¢ → 67¢
• Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Yes · $331 · 12¢ → 3¢
• Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Yes · $177 · 75¢ → 33¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes · $123 · 55¢ → 12¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes · $32 · 17¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Yes · -$662 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes · -$29K · Sep 30, 2026
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes · -$308 · Sep 7, 2026
• Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?Yes · -$563 · Aug 1, 2026
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$158 · Jul 3, 2026
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No · -$567 · Jul 1, 2026
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

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