grimnacht · Polymarket wallet 0x7008…560a

Wallet snapshot

grimnacht has made 23 trades on Polymarket across 14 markets, $151 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (57%) and politics (21%). On 12 resolved markets the win rate is 58.3%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Aug 27, 2026.

Largest open positions

• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes · $9 · 28¢ → 27¢
• Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes · $1 · 4¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes · +$19 · Aug 14, 2026
• Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · -$5 · Jul 16, 2026
• Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$11 · Jun 22, 2026
• UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$2 · May 15, 2026
• Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.6%?Yes · -$8 · May 14, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No · +$4 · May 12, 2026
• US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes · +$3 · Apr 9, 2026
• Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Yes · -$1 · Apr 1, 2026
• Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes · +$12 · Mar 14, 2026
• Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes · -$4 · Mar 1, 2026

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