c86b · Polymarket wallet 0x6bf9…82fe

Wallet snapshot

c86b has made 128 trades on Polymarket across 52 markets, $29K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (54%) and crypto (15%). On 47 resolved markets the win rate is 87.2%, lifetime P&L +$368. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?". Last trade: Jul 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?No · $13 · 93¢ → 97¢
• StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No · $10 · 94¢ → 97¢
• Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Yes · $0 · 9¢ → 4¢
• StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?Yes · $0 · 13¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No · +$1 · Apr 26, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No · +$0 · Apr 26, 2026
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No · +$2 · Apr 9, 2026
• Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?No · +$1 · Apr 7, 2026
• Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes · +$1 · Mar 26, 2026
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?No · -$8 · Mar 14, 2026
• US forces enter Iran by March 14?No · +$6 · Mar 3, 2026
• US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes · +$1 · Mar 3, 2026
• Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?Yes · -$10 · Feb 28, 2026
• Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?No · +$0 · Feb 27, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.