477f · Polymarket wallet 0x6b0d…d3ad

Wallet snapshot

477f has made 192 trades on Polymarket across 47 markets, $5,535 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (53%) and tech (19%). On 39 resolved markets the win rate is 61.5%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: May 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $108 · 96¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russell McAlmond be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?Yes · -$6 · May 23, 2026
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · +$2 · May 13, 2026
• Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?No · +$1 · Apr 1, 2026
• Will the US strike Iran next?Yes · +$28 · Mar 2, 2026
• GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No · +$91 · Mar 1, 2026
• Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?Yes · -$29 · Mar 1, 2026
• Will the US strike Somalia next?No · +$5 · Mar 1, 2026
• Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14?No · -$48 · Mar 1, 2026
• Will Khamenei tweet again by March 1?No · +$11 · Feb 28, 2026
• Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes · -$21 · Feb 28, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.