arbitraram · Polymarket wallet 0x6804…4626

Wallet snapshot

arbitraram has made 75 trades on Polymarket across 28 markets, $1,056 in volume. Most of it is in politics (36%) and sports (21%). On 27 resolved markets the win rate is 66.7%, lifetime P&L +$47. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?". Last trade: Jun 30, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $9 · 42¢ → 13¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$2 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$5 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No · +$3 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · -$0 · Jul 16, 2026
• Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · -$0 · Jun 30, 2026
• Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes · +$5 · Jun 25, 2026
• Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes · -$20 · Mar 4, 2026
• Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes · -$9 · Mar 2, 2026
• Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No · +$13 · Feb 2, 2026
• No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Yes · +$19 · Jan 29, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.