Hague · Polymarket wallet 0x64ec…21ff

Wallet snapshot

Hague has made 115 trades on Polymarket across 26 markets, $16K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (73%) and sports (12%). On 20 resolved markets the win rate is 60%, lifetime P&L -$51. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?". Last trade: Sep 24, 2026.

Largest open positions

• UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No · $3 · 96¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31?Yes · +$28 · Aug 21, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$9 · Aug 21, 2026
• Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by September 30?Yes · -$9 · Aug 17, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?Yes · $0 · Aug 17, 2026
• Israel military action against Yemen by August 31?No · $0 · Aug 6, 2026
• Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No · +$5 · Aug 6, 2026
• Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?Yes · $0 · Aug 4, 2026
• Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · Aug 4, 2026
• Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Aug 3, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Aug 3, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.