valueorbubble · Polymarket wallet 0x6453…5553

Wallet snapshot

valueorbubble has made 1,632 trades on Polymarket across 140 markets, $228K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (35%) and crypto (24%). On 131 resolved markets the win rate is 61.1%, lifetime P&L +$535. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $8,297 · 34¢ → 91¢
• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $404 · 3¢ → 3¢
• Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No · $192 · 85¢ → 98¢
• Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · $190 · 64¢ → 19¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes · $170 · 53¢ → 9¢
• Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $41 · 3¢ → 1¢
• Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Yes · $28 · 63¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?No · +$18 · Sep 8, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No · +$570 · Aug 4, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No · +$186 · Jul 21, 2026
• Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes · +$75 · Jul 15, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No · +$602 · Jul 7, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$252 · Jun 18, 2026
• Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.