orrnicholas · Polymarket wallet 0x5fce…8b6a

Wallet snapshot

orrnicholas has made 56 trades on Polymarket across 43 markets, $1,597 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (70%) and geopolitics (26%). On 42 resolved markets the win rate is 90.5%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 24, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?No · $111 · 96¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?No · +$0 · Oct 2, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 19, 2026
• Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?No · -$1 · Jul 16, 2026
• Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?No · -$2 · Jul 16, 2026
• Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?No · -$2 · Jul 16, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?No · +$1 · Jul 16, 2026
• Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,600 on January 9?Yes · -$4 · Jul 16, 2026
• Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?No · +$0 · May 4, 2026
• Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?No · +$1 · May 4, 2026
• Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by April 30, 2026?No · +$1 · May 4, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.