michaelcarlson · Polymarket wallet 0x5e58…3c4c

Wallet snapshot

michaelcarlson has made 158 trades on Polymarket across 85 markets, $13K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (27%) and sports (24%). On 82 resolved markets the win rate is 68.3%, lifetime P&L -$9. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 19?". Last trade: Oct 18, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 19?No · $32 · 55¢ → 100¢
• Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes · $15 · 67¢ → 46¢
• Broncos vs. Cardinals: O/U 52.5Yes · $13 · 37¢ → 24¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?No · +$3 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 5-11?No · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Korea Open: Yexin Ma vs Kimberly BirrellNo · +$9 · Sep 25, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No · +$2 · Sep 8, 2026
• Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 70k and 90k?Yes · +$3 · Sep 5, 2026
• Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No · +$1 · Sep 4, 2026
• Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No · +$0 · Aug 25, 2026
• Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January?No · +$0 · Feb 1, 2026
• Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January?No · +$0 · Feb 1, 2026
• Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January?No · +$0 · Feb 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.