Chiswicka · Polymarket wallet 0x5cd7…9ca2

Wallet snapshot

Chiswicka has made 74 trades on Polymarket across 36 markets, $15K in volume. Most of it is in sports (43%) and geopolitics (23%). On 26 resolved markets the win rate is 69.2%, lifetime P&L +$244. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?No · $3 · 94¢ → 96¢
• Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?No · $2 · 93¢ → 93¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No · $0 · Aug 13, 2026
• Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No · $0 · Aug 13, 2026
• US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?Yes · +$7 · Jun 30, 2026
• Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes · -$13 · Jun 29, 2026
• Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5Yes · +$35 · Jun 8, 2026
• Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5Yes · +$22 · Jun 6, 2026
• Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)No · +$7 · Jun 4, 2026
• Russia coup attempt in 2026?No · $0 · Jun 4, 2026
• Spread: Albania (-2.5)No · +$20 · Jun 3, 2026
• Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?No · -$10 · Jun 3, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.