Proton14 · Polymarket wallet 0x5c40…09a6

Wallet snapshot

Proton14 has made 307 trades on Polymarket across 156 markets, $6,606 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (66%) and politics (16%). On 148 resolved markets the win rate is 76.4%. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?". Last trade: May 18, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No · $137 · 84¢ → 96¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $66 · 89¢ → 98¢
• Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $33 · 38¢ → 64¢
• Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No · $29 · 93¢ → 98¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $22 · 84¢ → 91¢
• Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No · $11 · 90¢ → 97¢
• Iran Nuke before 2027?No · $6 · 87¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes · -$1 · May 18, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No · +$6 · May 18, 2026
• Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?No · +$1 · May 18, 2026
• Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?No · +$3 · May 18, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?No · +$2 · May 18, 2026
• Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?No · +$4 · May 18, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No · +$3 · Mar 16, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.